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The Arab Spring was predictable in 2007: Empirics of proof

1st Person: Asongu, Simplice
Additional Persons: Nwachukwu, Jacinta C.
Type of Publication: Paper
Language: English
Published: African Governance and Development Institute (AGDI) 2017
Series: AGDI Working Paper
Online: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/191314
id
oai_econstor.eu_10419-191314
recordtype
econstor
institution
MPG
collection
ECONSTOR
title
The Arab Spring was predictable in 2007: Empirics of proof
spellingShingle
The Arab Spring was predictable in 2007: Empirics of proof
Asongu, Simplice
AGDI Working Paper
title_short
The Arab Spring was predictable in 2007: Empirics of proof
title_full
The Arab Spring was predictable in 2007: Empirics of proof
title_fullStr
The Arab Spring was predictable in 2007: Empirics of proof
title_full_unstemmed
The Arab Spring was predictable in 2007: Empirics of proof
title_sort
The Arab Spring was predictable in 2007: Empirics of proof
format
electronic Article
format_phy_str_mv
Paper
publisher
African Governance and Development Institute (AGDI)
publishDate
2017
language
English
author
Asongu, Simplice
author2
Nwachukwu, Jacinta C.
author2Str
Nwachukwu, Jacinta C.
description
We model core demands for better governance (political, economic and institutional), more employment and less consumer price inflation using a methodological innovation on the complete elimination of cross-country differences in signals susceptible of sparking social revolts. The empirical evidence based on 14 MENA countries show that the Arab Spring was predictable in 2007 to occur between January 2011 and April 2012. While the findings predict the wave of cross-country revolutions with almost mathematical precision, caveats and cautions are discussed for the scholar to understand the expositional dimensions of the empirics.
url
http://hdl.handle.net/10419/191314
series
AGDI Working Paper
seriesStr
AGDI Working Paper
AGDI Working Paper
series2
AGDI Working Paper
series2_facet
AGDI Working Paper
up_date
2019-04-23T02:50:14.426Z
_version_
1631571484149284866

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